Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.053442 0.058005 0.062625 0.067645 0.072938 0.078347 0.084283
2025-06-01 0.045773 0.052418 0.059389 0.067217 0.075736 0.084700 0.094817
2025-06-08 0.041661 0.049959 0.058927 0.069277 0.080828 0.093265 0.107605
2025-06-15 0.037983 0.047502 0.058069 0.070560 0.084808 0.100448 0.118805
2025-06-22 0.034706 0.045133 0.056999 0.071329 0.087993 0.106596 0.128762
2025-06-29 0.031604 0.042667 0.055557 0.071437 0.090231 0.111530 0.137255
2025-07-06 0.029990 0.041816 0.055872 0.073482 0.094627 0.118889 0.148511
2025-07-13 0.027289 0.039412 0.054135 0.072911 0.095801 0.122402 0.155242
2025-07-20 0.025276 0.037719 0.053133 0.073109 0.097795 0.126808 0.162977
2025-07-27 0.023875 0.036705 0.052886 0.074158 0.100761 0.132334 0.172025
2025-08-03 0.022889 0.036161 0.053172 0.075826 0.104456 0.138728 0.182126
2025-08-10 0.020324 0.033324 0.050357 0.073428 0.102993 0.138783 0.184533
2025-08-17 0.018669 0.031674 0.049055 0.072961 0.103972 0.141881 0.190737
2025-08-24 0.017160 0.030135 0.047824 0.072521 0.104943 0.144952 0.196919
2025-08-31 0.016695 0.030072 0.048579 0.074698 0.109279 0.152240 0.208349
2025-09-07 0.015987 0.029603 0.048736 0.076053 0.112546 0.158200 0.218170
2025-09-14 0.015156 0.028893 0.048515 0.076865 0.115087 0.163246 0.226873
2025-09-21 0.014173 0.027884 0.047816 0.076978 0.116679 0.167073 0.234055
2025-09-28 0.013867 0.027915 0.048598 0.079133 0.120986 0.174391 0.245676
2025-10-05 0.012795 0.026651 0.047437 0.078531 0.121574 0.176910 0.251219
2025-10-12 0.012022 0.025825 0.046879 0.078740 0.123227 0.180794 0.258500
2025-10-19 0.011538 0.025447 0.046964 0.079845 0.126087 0.186247 0.267801
2025-10-26 0.011247 0.025377 0.047505 0.081600 0.129842 0.192889 0.278665